Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.344472 0.402013 0.466415 0.543886 0.634626 0.737634 0.863584
2025-01-05 0.247228 0.320375 0.411370 0.533117 0.692144 0.893365 1.168216
2025-01-12 0.197824 0.275239 0.378722 0.527631 0.737265 1.023144 1.444833
2025-01-19 0.167101 0.246309 0.358562 0.529984 0.786585 1.158724 1.743619
2025-01-26 0.151060 0.234131 0.358011 0.557278 0.872047 1.353919 2.154898
2025-02-02 0.137972 0.223639 0.357332 0.582627 0.956117 1.556397 2.605935
2025-02-09 0.125511 0.211870 0.352318 0.599234 1.026996 1.745775 3.062111
2025-02-16 0.113147 0.198239 0.341968 0.604690 1.078690 1.908573 3.495038
2025-02-23 0.101257 0.183624 0.327717 0.600806 1.112476 2.043284 3.895519
2025-03-02 0.089136 0.166890 0.307411 0.582848 1.117399 2.125216 4.207394
2025-03-09 0.083384 0.161048 0.305931 0.599399 1.188882 2.339861 4.807060
2025-03-16 0.076590 0.152304 0.297815 0.601807 1.232546 2.505439 5.330722
2025-03-23 0.071366 0.146160 0.294300 0.613633 1.298374 2.727454 6.014073
2025-03-30 0.064250 0.135318 0.280161 0.601830 1.313548 2.847307 6.496492
2025-04-06 0.058550 0.126675 0.269399 0.595606 1.339565 2.993306 7.059667
2025-04-13 0.054276 0.120538 0.263124 0.598271 1.385533 3.189342 7.769925
2025-04-20 0.052671 0.120072 0.269049 0.629184 1.500615 3.559014 8.958561
2025-04-27 0.050961 0.119138 0.273781 0.657899 1.614442 3.941592 10.241699
2025-05-04 0.048661 0.116540 0.274362 0.676713 1.706670 4.284567 11.478724
2025-05-11 0.045741 0.112092 0.270052 0.682894 1.767956 4.558645 12.577029
2025-05-18 0.042461 0.106366 0.261980 0.678494 1.801259 4.765320 13.524080
2025-05-25 0.038621 0.098779 0.248434 0.658149 1.789428 4.851005 14.142675
2025-06-01 0.037150 0.097091 0.249558 0.676900 1.886745 5.246812 15.732844